Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marienlyst vs Esbjerg

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Nissen R.
52' Event
Ankersen J.
58' Event
Ankersen J.

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg in this Landspokal Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Marienlyst
20%
Draws
51%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esbjerg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Esbjerg have won more games recently than Marienlyst.
  • Esbjerg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Esbjerg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esbjerg, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 13%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marienlyst Esbjerg
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Betano Pokalen
Marienlyst vs Esbjerg
1:2
Sep 25, 2019 Betano Pokalen
Marienlyst vs Esbjerg
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marienlyst Compare

Top Goalscorer Nissen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ankersen J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marienlyst 10 / 100
Esbjerg 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marienlyst Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esbjerg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Marienlyst scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Esbjerg conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Marienlyst stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marienlyst VS Esbjerg
3 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marienlyst

(Home)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
Page 1 of 6

Esbjerg

(Away)
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
30 Aug
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Vendsyssel FF
25 Aug
Skive
1 : 5
Esbjerg
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ringsted 7
Nykobing 6
LUIF 0
Skjold 7
Snejbjerg SG&I 0
Vejgaard 6
Marienlyst 1
Esbjerg 2
Vallensbaek 1
Nakskov 7
Fredensborg 1
Hellerup 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Grenaa IF 0
Young Boys FD 3
Skibsby-Hojene IF 0
Aarhus Fremad 3
Boldklubben 1909 1
FC Sonderborg 0
Skovsgaard 2
Hobro 4
Ledoje-Smorum 1
BK Frem 0
Helsingor 0
Lyngby 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 2
TRIF 1
Skodstrup SF 0
Thisted FC 2
ESPM 1
Tune 2
TBD -
Fredericia -
BV Oksbol 4
Billund 1
Bramming 3
SfB-Oure 2
Naesby 1
Horsens 2
TBD -
Viborg -
Holstebro 2
Odder 4
ASA Aarhus 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 2
Naestved IF 1
Kastrup 0
Roskilde 2
Husum BK 1
Holbaek 6
Ishoj IF 2
Fremad Amager 1
Skanderborg 4
Kjellerup 0
TBD -
Vejle -
Bornholm 0
Gentofte-Vangede 2
Allerod 2
Bronshoj 4
FC Bih Odense 2
FC Horsens 7
Norager 1
VSK Aarhus 6
Frem Sakskobing 1
Sundby 6
OKF 0
Vanlose 5
FC Kalundborg 1
Stenlose 0
TBD -
Odense -
Brondby Strand 2
Nerashte Ballerup 1
BK Viktoria 0
Hillerod 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Tarnby FF 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 4
Koge 3
Raklev 2
Avarta 0
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Marstal/Rise 3
Tved 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
Aalborg 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 4
Norresundby 3
Chang Odense 0
Kolding BK 3
OKS Odense 2
Middelfart 3
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Brabrand 0
Skive 3
Odense KFUM 0
Kolding IF 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Rudersdal 1
AB Copenhagen 3
Alholm IF 0
Boldklubben 1893 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
1/32-finals
Ringsted 3
Skjold 1
Vejgaard 1
Esbjerg 2
Nakskov 0
Hellerup 4
TBD -
Randers FC -
Young Boys FD 1
Aarhus Fremad 6
Boldklubben 1909 0
Hobro 3
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Lyngby 2
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 0
Thisted FC 4
Tune 2
Fredericia 4
BV Oksbol 4
Bramming 0
Horsens 0
Viborg 1
Odder 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 0
Roskilde 5
Holbaek 3
Ishoj IF 0
Skanderborg 0
Vejle 6
Gentofte-Vangede 3
Bronshoj 4
FC Horsens 0
VSK Aarhus 5
Sundby 3
Vanlose 2
FC Kalundborg 0
Odense 11
Brondby Strand 2
Hillerod 3
TBD -
Aarhus -
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Raklev 0
Sonderjyske 10
Marstal/Rise 1
Aalborg 6
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 1
Kolding BK 2
Middelfart 1
Silkeborg 2
Skive 0
Kolding IF 2
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 1
Boldklubben 1893 2
TBD -
Brondby -
1/16-finals
Ringsted 0
Esbjerg 1
Hellerup 1
Randers FC 2
Aarhus Fremad 1
Hobro 2
Lyngby 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Thisted FC 1
Fredericia 2
BV Oksbol 0
Viborg 6
Lyseng 4
Roskilde 3
Holbaek 2
Vejle 3
Bronshoj 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Sundby 0
Odense 3
Hillerod 1
Aarhus 2
Hvidovre IF 1
Sonderjyske 2
Aalborg 0
Midtjylland 3
Kolding BK 0
Silkeborg 5
Kolding IF 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Boldklubben 1893 1
Brondby 4
1/8-finals
Esbjerg 1
Randers FC 0
Hobro 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Fredericia 2
Viborg 3
Lyseng 0
Vejle 4
Bronshoj 0
Odense 3
Aarhus 2
Sonderjyske 1
Midtjylland 4
Silkeborg 0
Nordsjaelland 4
Brondby 2
Quarter-finals
Esbjerg 2
FC Copenhagen 6
Viborg 4
Vejle 2
Odense 2
Aarhus 3
Midtjylland 6
Nordsjaelland 3
Semi-finals
FC Copenhagen 4
Viborg 2
Aarhus 1
Midtjylland 2
Final
FC Copenhagen 0
Midtjylland 1