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Stadium Background

Marienlyst vs Kjellerup

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Munk Jensen M.
34' Event
Friis M.
78' Event
Larsen R.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 1 2018/2019 game between Marienlyst and Kjellerup finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kjellerup.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Marienlyst
15%
Draws
0%
Kjellerup
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marienlyst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Marienlyst carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Marienlyst are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2nd Division - Group 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 20%
Kjellerup Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marienlyst Kjellerup
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.68 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.11 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Marienlyst vs Kjellerup
2:3
Jun 2, 2018 2nd Division - Group 1
Marienlyst vs Kjellerup
2:1
Apr 28, 2018 2nd Division - Group 1
Kjellerup vs Marienlyst
2:1
Jun 1, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Kjellerup vs Marienlyst
4:2
Apr 13, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Marienlyst vs Kjellerup
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marienlyst Compare

Top Goalscorer Munk Jensen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larsen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kjellerup Compare

Top Goalscorer Friis M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lysdahl R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marienlyst 85 / 100
Kjellerup 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marienlyst Kjellerup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marienlyst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kjellerup conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Kjellerup lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Marienlyst found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Marienlyst VS Kjellerup
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marienlyst

(Home)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
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Kjellerup

(Away)
06 Aug
Kjellerup
0 : 1
Bronderslev
05 Aug
Skanderborg
4 : 0
Kjellerup
07 Aug
Kjellerup
0 : 5
Horsens
11 Feb
Vejgaard
4 : 0
Kjellerup
08 Aug
Ringkobing
1 : 0
Kjellerup
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