Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marienlyst vs Vejle

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Hyldgaard M. W.
45' Event
Emmanouilidis D.
46'
Sub
Emmanouilidis D. In: Kirkegaard K.
Out: Emmanouilidis D.

AI Match Summary

Vejle in this Landspokal Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Marienlyst
35%
Draws
39%
Vejle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vejle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Marienlyst have won more games recently than Vejle.
  • Model gives Vejle a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Marienlyst have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vejle, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vejle here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 14%
Vejle Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marienlyst Vejle
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 1 13
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.68 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2022 Betano Pokalen
Marienlyst vs Vejle
0:3
Jun 7, 2014 1st Division
Vejle vs Marienlyst
3:2
Oct 26, 2013 1st Division
Marienlyst vs Vejle
0:3
Aug 31, 2013 1st Division
Marienlyst vs Vejle
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marienlyst Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Vejle Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmanouilidis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ponce A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marienlyst 23 / 100
Vejle 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marienlyst Vejle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vejle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Marienlyst found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Vejle let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Marienlyst stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marienlyst VS Vejle
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marienlyst

(Home)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
Page 1 of 6

Vejle

(Away)
20 Sept
Fredericia
2 : 2
Vejle
17 Sept
Vejle
1 : 2
Brondby
11 Sept
Hobro
0 : 0
Vejle
04 Sept
Vejle
4 : 1
Vendsyssel FF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Varde 4
Tarup-Paarup 3
AIA-Tranbjerg 0
Aarhus Fremad 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Culpa 2
Maribo BK 0
Boldklubben 1893 1
Roskilde 3
Tune 1
Tarnby FF 5
Fremad Amager 1
Hillerod 0
Mosede 0
Kastrup 3
FB 2
AB Copenhagen 4
Vatanspor 2
Lyseng 0
TBD -
Aarhus -
Dragor 0
BSF 5
KFUM BK Kobenhavn 1
Karlslunde 3
Saby 1
BK Frem 3
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Hedensted 1
Dalum IF 0
Norresundby 1
Thisted FC 5
Hvidovre IF 2
Helsingor 4
TBD -
Lyngby -
Aabenraa 1
SfB-Oure 2
Vejgaard 0
Hobro 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Kjellerup 1
Young Boys FD 4
Odder 2
Brabrand 3
Boldklubben 1909 0
Marienlyst 1
OKS Odense 1
Vejle 5
B73 Slagelse 0
Horsholm-Usserod 4
Tuse IF 2
Bornholm 1
Oster Hornum 0
Ringkobing 8
TBD -
Horsens -
Haarby 0
Naesby 3
Farso Ullits 1
Skive 4
Hellerup 0
Nykobing 1
TBD -
Odense -
Munkebo BK 0
Kerteminde BK 1
Skovshoved 0
Koge 4
Kolding IF 2
Esbjerg 0
Slagelse 0
Sonderjyske 5
Frederikshavn 3
ASA Aarhus 0
VSK Aarhus 1
Vendsyssel FF 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Jyllinge 3
BK Union 0
Ringsted 0
Naestved IF 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Klitmoller 3
Jammerbugt 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 3
Marstal/Rise 2
Give Fremad 0
Middelfart 7
Broager UI 0
Fredericia 8
Boldklubben 1973 Herlev 1
Nakskov 5
Herlev 0
Vanlose 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aalborg -
LUIF 0
Bronshoj 6
Solrod FC 0
Ishoj IF 3
Vejlby Risskov 0
Viby 2
TBD -
Viborg -
Allerod 3
Roskilde KFUM 1
Avarta 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
1/32-finals
Varde 0
Aarhus Fremad 2
TBD -
Brondby -
Culpa 0
Roskilde 3
Tarnby FF 1
Fremad Amager 2
Kastrup 1
AB Copenhagen 2
Vatanspor 0
Aarhus 8
BSF 1
Karlslunde 0
BK Frem 0
Nordsjaelland 1
Hedensted 1
Thisted FC 2
Helsingor 2
Lyngby 0
SfB-Oure 0
Hobro 3
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Young Boys FD 0
Brabrand 1
Marienlyst 0
Vejle 3
Horsholm-Usserod 5
Tuse IF 0
Ringkobing 1
Horsens 2
Naesby 3
Skive 2
Nykobing 2
Odense 1
Kerteminde BK 1
Koge 2
Kolding IF 0
Sonderjyske 2
Frederikshavn 2
Vendsyssel FF 7
TBD -
Randers FC -
Jyllinge 0
Naestved IF 5
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Klitmoller 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Middelfart 1
Fredericia 0
Nakskov 0
Vanlose 4
TBD -
Aalborg -
Bronshoj 1
Ishoj IF 5
Viby 0
Viborg 7
Allerod 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 3
TBD -
Midtjylland -
1/16-finals
Aarhus Fremad 4
Brondby 0
Roskilde 1
Fremad Amager 2
AB Copenhagen 0
Aarhus 3
BSF 0
Nordsjaelland 5
Thisted FC 2
Helsingor 1
Hobro 1
FC Copenhagen 2
Brabrand 0
Vejle 3
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Horsens 2
Naesby 1
Nykobing 2
Koge 1
Sonderjyske 4
Vendsyssel FF 0
Randers FC 2
Naestved IF 0
Silkeborg 3
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
Middelfart 6
Vanlose 1
Aalborg 3
Ishoj IF 2
Viborg 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Midtjylland 6
1/8-finals
Aarhus Fremad 3
Fremad Amager 1
Aarhus 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Thisted FC 1
FC Copenhagen 3
Vejle 1
Horsens 0
Nykobing 1
Sonderjyske 2
Randers FC 1
Silkeborg 3
Middelfart 1
Aalborg 2
Viborg 3
Midtjylland 1
Quarter-finals
Aarhus Fremad 1
Nordsjaelland 7
FC Copenhagen 2
Vejle 0
Sonderjyske 2
Silkeborg 5
Aalborg 2
Viborg 1
Semi-finals
Nordsjaelland 6
FC Copenhagen 7
Silkeborg 2
Aalborg 5
Final
FC Copenhagen 1
Aalborg 0