Sport Picks
Marienlyst vs VSK Aarhus
Denmark
Betano Pokalen 
Match Events
17'
17'
Nemec P.
86'
86'
Tygesen L.
110'
110'
Yderholm J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marienlyst
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Marienlyst average 1.67 goals a game right now, well clear of VSK Aarhus's 1.42.
- Model gives VSK Aarhus a 28% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor VSK Aarhus, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 19%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marienlyst | VSK Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Betano Pokalen
Marienlyst vs VSK Aarhus
1:3
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst
0:0
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marienlyst Compare
Top Goalscorer Tygesen L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
VSK Aarhus Compare
Top Goalscorer Nemec P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pedersen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marienlyst 10 / 100
VSK Aarhus 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marienlyst VSK Aarhus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VSK Aarhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marienlyst found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
VSK Aarhus let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Marienlyst remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Marienlyst VS VSK Aarhus
3 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Marienlyst
(Home) 26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3 VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5 Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2 Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2 Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3 Marienlyst
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3 VSK Aarhus
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2 Esbjerg
10 Feb
Marienlyst
0 : 1 SfB-Oure
03 Feb
Marienlyst
3 : 4 Naesby
07 Feb
Marienlyst
0 : 1 Naesby
Page 1 of 4
VSK Aarhus
(Away) 19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1 VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2 Boldklubben 1893
09 Sept
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2 Lyngby
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0 VSK Aarhus
29 Aug
VSK Aarhus
0 : 0 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1 VSK Aarhus
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0 VSK Aarhus
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3 VSK Aarhus
23 Aug
Naestved IF
0 : 2 VSK Aarhus
04 Aug
Tst Fodbold
1 : 6 VSK Aarhus
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hedensted 0
Marienlyst 5
Tst Fodbold 1
VSK Aarhus 6
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Fremad Amager 0
TBD -
Lyngby -
Aalborg KFUM 1
Fuglebakken 3
Hobro 0
Vendsyssel FF 4
Viby 0
ASA Aarhus 1
TBD -
Randers FC -
Sydkysten 3
Ishoj IF 1
Ringsted 0
BK Frem 1
Vaerlose 0
Saby 2
Handelsstandens Boldklub 0
Roskilde 5
Maribo BK 0
Skjold 6
Brondby Strand 1
Espergaerde 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Bornholm 4
Nakskov 1
Rudersdal 1
Hellerup 5
Odder 2
Skive 3
Bogense 0
Esbjerg 6
Vatanspor 4
Norresundby 1
Holstebro 1
Aalborg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
KRFK 6
Skanderborg 0
Aarhus Black Vipers 0
Brabrand 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viborg -
Munkebo BK 3
Morud 2
Kolding BK 0
Naesby 3
Lyseng 3
Vejgaard 2
TBD -
Horsens -
Bronshoj 1
Koge 0
Holbaek 1
AB Copenhagen 2
Aabybro 1
Thisted FC 9
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Tarup-Paarup 0
Vejle 3
TBD -
Silkeborg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Boldklubben FIX 1
Frederikssund 3
Slagelse 0
Sundby 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Kjellerup 0
Bronderslev 1
Glamsbjerg 0
Kolding IF 8
SfB-Oure 0
Fredericia 6
TBD -
Odense -
Birkerod 2
Allerod 4
Koge Nord 1
Vanlose 4
Gentofte-Vangede 0
Avarta 2
Vaeggerlose 0
Hillerod 12
Nykobing 2
Boldklubben 1893 0
Naestved IF 1
Hvidovre IF 0
Varde 1
OKS Odense 2
Bredballe 0
Middelfart 2
Vallensbaek 1
Helsingor 4
IF Foroyar 0
Horsholm-Usserod 2
Aabenraa 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 2
Ringkobing 0
Aarhus Fremad 4
Vigerslev 0
Skovshoved 1
Frederiksholm 1
Tarnby FF 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/32-finals
Marienlyst 1
VSK Aarhus 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Lyngby 1
Fuglebakken 1
Vendsyssel FF 2
ASA Aarhus 0
Randers FC 4
Sydkysten 1
BK Frem 2
Saby 0
Roskilde 5
Skjold 3
Espergaerde 0
TBD -
Aarhus -
Bornholm 1
Hellerup 4
Skive 1
Esbjerg 5
Vatanspor 2
Aalborg 1
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
KRFK 1
Brabrand 5
TBD -
Viborg -
Munkebo BK 0
Naesby 5
Lyseng 0
Horsens 4
Bronshoj 2
AB Copenhagen 4
Thisted FC 0
Sonderjyske 2
Vejle 3
Silkeborg 0
TBD -
Brondby -
Frederikssund 2
Sundby 3
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Bronderslev 1
Kolding IF 4
Fredericia 1
Odense 2
Allerod 1
Vanlose 4
Avarta 0
Hillerod 4
Nykobing 2
Naestved IF 1
OKS Odense 0
Middelfart 1
Helsingor 2
Horsholm-Usserod 5
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
Aarhus Fremad 1
Skovshoved 2
Tarnby FF 0
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/16-finals
VSK Aarhus 0
Lyngby 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
Randers FC 3
BK Frem 1
Roskilde 2
Skjold 1
Aarhus 6
Hellerup 0
Esbjerg 5
Vatanspor 0
Nordsjaelland 3
Brabrand 2
Viborg 1
Naesby 2
Horsens 3
AB Copenhagen 3
Sonderjyske 1
Vejle 1
Brondby 2
Sundby 0
Midtjylland 7
Kolding IF 1
Odense 2
Vanlose 2
Hillerod 1
Nykobing 6
Middelfart 5
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Aarhus Fremad 2
Skovshoved 0
FC Copenhagen 3
1/8-finals
Lyngby -
Randers FC -
Roskilde -
Aarhus -
Esbjerg -
Nordsjaelland -
Brabrand -
Horsens -
AB Copenhagen -
Brondby -
Midtjylland -
Odense -
Vanlose -
Nykobing -
Aarhus Fremad -
FC Copenhagen -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
