Sport Picks
Marienlyst vs VSK Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Denmark
Betano Pokalen 
Match Events
17'
17'
Nemec P.
86'
86'
Tygesen L.
110'
110'
Yderholm J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marienlyst
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Marienlyst have won more games recently than VSK Aarhus.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Marienlyst have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor VSK Aarhus, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 10%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marienlyst | VSK Aarhus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Betano Pokalen
Marienlyst vs VSK Aarhus
1:3
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst
0:0
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
VSK Aarhus vs Marienlyst
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marienlyst Compare
Top Goalscorer Tygesen L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
VSK Aarhus Compare
Top Goalscorer Nemec P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pedersen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marienlyst 29 / 100
VSK Aarhus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marienlyst VSK Aarhus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marienlyst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marienlyst found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
VSK Aarhus let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Away concern: VSK Aarhus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Marienlyst VS VSK Aarhus
3 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Marienlyst
(Home) 26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3 VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5 Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2 Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2 Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3 Marienlyst
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3 VSK Aarhus
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2 Esbjerg
10 Feb
Marienlyst
0 : 1 SfB-Oure
03 Feb
Marienlyst
3 : 4 Naesby
07 Feb
Marienlyst
0 : 1 Naesby
Page 1 of 4
VSK Aarhus
(Away) 30 Oct
Skive
4 : 1 VSK Aarhus
24 Oct
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2 Naestved IF
18 Oct
Thisted FC
2 : 2 VSK Aarhus
11 Oct
Nykobing
3 : 1 VSK Aarhus
02 Oct
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2 Brabrand
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Skive
4 : 1 VSK Aarhus
18 Oct
Thisted FC
2 : 2 VSK Aarhus
11 Oct
Nykobing
3 : 1 VSK Aarhus
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1 VSK Aarhus
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0 VSK Aarhus
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KRFK 6
Skanderborg 0
Aarhus Black Vipers 0
Brabrand 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viborg -
Munkebo BK 3
Morud 2
Kolding BK 0
Naesby 3
Lyseng 3
Vejgaard 2
TBD -
Horsens -
Sydkysten 3
Ishoj IF 1
Ringsted 0
BK Frem 1
Vaerlose 0
Saby 2
Handelsstandens Boldklub 0
Roskilde 5
Maribo BK 0
Skjold 6
Brondby Strand 1
Espergaerde 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Hedensted 0
Marienlyst 5
Tst Fodbold 1
VSK Aarhus 6
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Fremad Amager 0
TBD -
Lyngby -
Aalborg KFUM 1
Fuglebakken 3
Hobro 0
Vendsyssel FF 4
Viby 0
ASA Aarhus 1
TBD -
Randers FC -
Bornholm 4
Nakskov 1
Rudersdal 1
Hellerup 5
Odder 2
Skive 3
Bogense 0
Esbjerg 6
Vatanspor 4
Norresundby 1
Holstebro 1
Aalborg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Birkerod 2
Allerod 4
Koge Nord 1
Vanlose 4
Gentofte-Vangede 0
Avarta 2
Vaeggerlose 0
Hillerod 12
Nykobing 2
Boldklubben 1893 0
Naestved IF 1
Hvidovre IF 0
Varde 1
OKS Odense 2
Bredballe 0
Middelfart 2
Bronshoj 1
Koge 0
Holbaek 1
AB Copenhagen 2
Aabybro 1
Thisted FC 9
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Tarup-Paarup 0
Vejle 3
TBD -
Silkeborg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Vallensbaek 1
Helsingor 4
IF Foroyar 0
Horsholm-Usserod 2
Aabenraa 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 2
Ringkobing 0
Aarhus Fremad 4
Vigerslev 0
Skovshoved 1
Frederiksholm 1
Tarnby FF 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Boldklubben FIX 1
Frederikssund 3
Slagelse 0
Sundby 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Kjellerup 0
Bronderslev 1
Glamsbjerg 0
Kolding IF 8
SfB-Oure 0
Fredericia 6
TBD -
Odense -
1/32-finals
KRFK 1
Brabrand 5
TBD -
Viborg -
Munkebo BK 0
Naesby 5
Lyseng 0
Horsens 4
Sydkysten 1
BK Frem 2
Saby 0
Roskilde 5
Skjold 3
Espergaerde 0
TBD -
Aarhus -
Marienlyst 1
VSK Aarhus 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Lyngby 1
Fuglebakken 1
Vendsyssel FF 2
ASA Aarhus 0
Randers FC 4
Bornholm 1
Hellerup 4
Skive 1
Esbjerg 5
Vatanspor 2
Aalborg 1
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Allerod 1
Vanlose 4
Avarta 0
Hillerod 4
Nykobing 2
Naestved IF 1
OKS Odense 0
Middelfart 1
Bronshoj 2
AB Copenhagen 4
Thisted FC 0
Sonderjyske 2
Vejle 3
Silkeborg 0
TBD -
Brondby -
Helsingor 2
Horsholm-Usserod 5
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
Aarhus Fremad 1
Skovshoved 2
Tarnby FF 0
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Frederikssund 2
Sundby 3
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Bronderslev 1
Kolding IF 4
Fredericia 1
Odense 2
1/16-finals
Brabrand 2
Viborg 1
Naesby 2
Horsens 3
BK Frem 1
Roskilde 2
Skjold 1
Aarhus 6
VSK Aarhus 0
Lyngby 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
Randers FC 3
Hellerup 0
Esbjerg 5
Vatanspor 0
Nordsjaelland 3
Vanlose 2
Hillerod 1
Nykobing 6
Middelfart 5
AB Copenhagen 3
Sonderjyske 1
Vejle 1
Brondby 2
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Aarhus Fremad 2
Skovshoved 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Sundby 0
Midtjylland 7
Kolding IF 1
Odense 2
1/8-finals
Brabrand 1
Horsens 0
Roskilde 1
Aarhus 2
Lyngby 1
Randers FC 0
Esbjerg 0
Nordsjaelland 1
Vanlose 0
Nykobing 2
AB Copenhagen 1
Brondby 2
Aarhus Fremad 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Midtjylland 2
Odense 1
Quarter-finals
Brabrand -
Aarhus -
Lyngby -
Nordsjaelland -
Nykobing -
Brondby -
FC Copenhagen -
Midtjylland -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
