Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marignane GCB vs Istres

France France

National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 Stade Saint-Exupéry, Marignane
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Robinand J.
16' Event
Madi I.
20' Event
Toure B.

AI Match Summary

Istres in this National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Marignane GCB
35%
Draws
18%
Istres
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marignane GCB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Marignane GCB haven't matched Istres's recent run of results.
  • Marignane GCB are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Marignane GCB Clean Sheet 68%
Istres Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marignane GCB Istres
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Marignane GCB vs Istres
2:7
Aug 24, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Istres vs Marignane GCB
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marignane GCB Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Istres Compare

Top Goalscorer Madi I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cabon A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marignane GCB 68 / 100
Istres 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marignane GCB Istres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marignane GCB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Marignane GCB found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Istres conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

Marignane GCB went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Istres
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marignane GCB

(Home)
17 May
GOAL FC
3 : 2
Marignane GCB
10 May
Marignane GCB
2 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
03 May
Angouleme CFC
0 : 1
Marignane GCB
26 Apr
Marignane GCB
1 : 0
Hyeres
19 Apr
Genets
0 : 0
Marignane GCB
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Istres

(Away)
22 Aug
Troyes II
0 : 0
Istres
16 May
Istres
1 : 2
GOAL FC
09 May
Nimes
3 : 0
Istres
01 May
Istres
0 : 0
Creteil
25 Apr
RC Grasse
2 : 2
Istres
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 17 8 5 48:17 59
2 Cannes 30 15 10 5 57:30 55
3 Toulon 30 13 9 8 44:35 48
4 RC Grasse 30 11 12 7 40:29 45
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 34:25 45
6 Angouleme CFC 30 10 13 7 28:28 43
7 Saint Priest 30 11 9 10 32:33 42
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 12 9 33:36 38
9 Istres 30 11 5 14 40:48 38
10 Rumilly Vallieres 30 8 13 9 35:35 37
11 Andrezieux 30 9 10 11 36:29 37
12 Marignane GCB 30 9 8 13 29:43 35
13 Bergerac 30 9 7 14 34:49 34
14 GOAL FC 30 10 6 14 33:53 32
15 Jura Sud 30 5 14 11 28:36 29
16 Genets 30 4 8 18 25:50 20
Promotion - National 2025/2026 (Main)