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Marignane GCB vs Tarbes

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National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
Marignane GCB Logo

Marignane GCB

2 - 1
FT
Tarbes Logo

Tarbes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 game between Marignane GCB and Tarbes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marignane GCB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Marignane GCB
20%
Draws
34%
Tarbes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marignane GCB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Tarbes haven't matched Marignane GCB's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Marignane GCB a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Marignane GCB Clean Sheet 18%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marignane GCB Tarbes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.94 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Marignane GCB vs Tarbes
2:1
Sep 2, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Marignane GCB
1:2
Feb 18, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Tarbes vs Marignane GCB
0:0
Sep 17, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Marignane GCB vs Tarbes
0:3
Apr 16, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Tarbes vs Marignane GCB
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marignane GCB 85 / 100
Tarbes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marignane GCB Tarbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tarbes conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Marignane GCB's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Marignane GCB remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marignane GCB VS Tarbes
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marignane GCB

(Home)
17 May
GOAL FC
3 : 2
Marignane GCB
10 May
Marignane GCB
2 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
03 May
Angouleme CFC
0 : 1
Marignane GCB
26 Apr
Marignane GCB
1 : 0
Hyeres
19 Apr
Genets
0 : 0
Marignane GCB
Page 1 of 7

Tarbes

(Away)
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
19 May
Tarbes
0 : 3
Toulon
12 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Tarbes
28 Apr
Tarbes
1 : 0
RC Grasse
21 Apr
Stade Bordelais
3 : 1
Tarbes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)