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Stadium Background

Marignane GCB vs Toulon

France France

National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 Stade Saint-Exupéry, Marignane
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Match Events

24' Event
Diarra D.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 game between Marignane GCB and Toulon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toulon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Marignane GCB
35%
Draws
34%
Toulon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Toulon come out ahead of Marignane GCB on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marignane GCB's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Marignane GCB Clean Sheet 19%
Toulon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marignane GCB Toulon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Marignane GCB vs Toulon
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Toulon vs Marignane GCB
1:1
May 27, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Marignane GCB vs Toulon
1:2
Jan 14, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Marignane GCB
0:2
Mar 26, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Toulon vs Marignane GCB
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marignane GCB Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marignane GCB 36 / 100
Toulon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marignane GCB Toulon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marignane GCB scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Toulon has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Marignane GCB went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Toulon
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marignane GCB

(Home)
17 May
GOAL FC
3 : 2
Marignane GCB
10 May
Marignane GCB
2 : 2
Frejus Saint Raphael
03 May
Angouleme CFC
0 : 1
Marignane GCB
26 Apr
Marignane GCB
1 : 0
Hyeres
19 Apr
Genets
0 : 0
Marignane GCB
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Toulon

(Away)
31 Jul
Toulon
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
16 May
Toulon
0 : 0
FC Bobigny 93
09 May
Saint Priest
2 : 2
Toulon
02 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
0 : 1
Toulon
25 Apr
Toulon
2 : 1
Rumilly Vallieres
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 17 8 5 48:17 59
2 Cannes 30 15 10 5 57:30 55
3 Toulon 30 13 9 8 44:35 48
4 RC Grasse 30 11 12 7 40:29 45
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 34:25 45
6 Angouleme CFC 30 10 13 7 28:28 43
7 Saint Priest 30 11 9 10 32:33 42
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 12 9 33:36 38
9 Istres 30 11 5 14 40:48 38
10 Rumilly Vallieres 30 8 13 9 35:35 37
11 Andrezieux 30 9 10 11 36:29 37
12 Marignane GCB 30 9 8 13 29:43 35
13 Bergerac 30 9 7 14 34:49 34
14 GOAL FC 30 10 6 14 33:53 32
15 Jura Sud 30 5 14 11 28:36 29
16 Genets 30 4 8 18 25:50 20
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