Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Marijampole City play FBK Kaunas in the I Lyga 2016. Marijampole City are favorites here. Recently, Marijampole City averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. FBK Kaunas averaged 0.83 goals scored and 4.47 conceded. In past meetings, Marijampole City won 4, FBK Kaunas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 29, 2016 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Marijampole City and 1.75 for FBK Kaunas. This points to a Marijampole City double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marijampole City picked up more points recently compared to FBK Kaunas.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.75 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marijampole City | FBK Kaunas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 18 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.09 | 4.47 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marijampole City Compare
FBK Kaunas Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marijampole City scored in 56% of their last 32 games.
FBK Kaunas let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.25 goals.
Marijampole City went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
FBK Kaunas lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marijampole City | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 95:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Palanga | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 96:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Vilniaus Vytis | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 102:34 | 60 |
| 4 | Nevezis Kedainiai | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 76:38 | 60 |
| 5 | FK Panevezys | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 68:35 | 59 |
| 6 | Banga | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 62:31 | 52 |
| 7 | Dziugas Telsiai | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 51:44 | 48 |
| 8 | Zalgiris 2 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 62:61 | 45 |
| 9 | Dainava Alytus | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 57:46 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Hegelmann | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 55:56 | 42 |
| 11 | Riteriai 2 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 44:59 | 30 |
| 12 | Silute | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 38:60 | 30 |
| 13 | FK Krazante Kelme | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 47:86 | 28 |
| 14 | Lokomotyvas Radviliskis | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 42:86 | 23 |
| 15 | FBK Kaunas | 30 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 25:134 | 13 |
| 16 | FK Minija | 30 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 27:123 | 10 |