Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Marijampole City play Garliava in the I Lyga 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marijampole City averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Garliava averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Marijampole City won 1, Garliava won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 5, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Marijampole City and 1.18 for Garliava. This points to a Garliava double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marijampole City picked up more points recently compared to Garliava.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.18 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marijampole City | Garliava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.32 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marijampole City Compare
Garliava Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marijampole City scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Garliava let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Marijampole City went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
Garliava lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Transinvest | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 83:29 | 70 |
| 2 | BE1 NFA | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 51:30 | 56 |
| 3 | Nevezis Kedainiai | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 47:32 | 51 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 57:33 | 51 |
| 5 | FK Babrungas | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 60:49 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Minija | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 7 | Riteriai 2 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:33 | 46 |
| 8 | Garliava | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 43:37 | 40 |
| 9 | Ekranas | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:49 | 39 |
| 10 | BFA Vilnius | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 40:41 | 38 |
| 11 | Marijampole City | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 27:64 | 35 |
| 12 | Siauliai 2 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 47:66 | 33 |
| 13 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40:49 | 32 |
| 14 | FK Panevezys 2 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 45:59 | 31 |
| 15 | Zalgiris 2 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 46:66 | 28 |
| 16 | Jonava | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 28:76 | 15 |