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Marijampole City vs Polonija Vilnius

Lithuania Lithuania

Division 2 2014
Wed, Jul 2, 2014
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marijampole City play Polonija Vilnius in the Division 2 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marijampole City averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Polonija Vilnius averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Marijampole City won 1, Polonija Vilnius won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 2, 2014 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Marijampole City and 1.75 for Polonija Vilnius. This points to a Polonija Vilnius double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Marijampole City
6%
Draws
90%
Polonija Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Polonija Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Marijampole City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Polonija Vilnius.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Polonija Vilnius.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 2014 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Marijampole City Clean Sheet 12%
Polonija Vilnius Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marijampole City Polonija Vilnius
Matches Played 34 4
Wins 14 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2014 I Lyga
Marijampole City vs Polonija Vilnius
0:0
Apr 26, 2014 I Lyga
Polonija Vilnius vs Marijampole City
0:0
Sep 13, 2013 I Lyga
Polonija Vilnius vs Marijampole City
4:2
Jun 16, 2013 I Lyga
Marijampole City vs Polonija Vilnius
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marijampole City 10 / 100
Polonija Vilnius 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marijampole City Polonija Vilnius

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marijampole City scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Polonija Vilnius let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Marijampole City went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Polonija Vilnius lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marijampole City VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MRU TiuMenas24145554:1947
2FC Stumbras24145557:2347
3Utenis24145549:1747
4FK Kauno Zalgiris24145543:2047
5Zalgiris 224134748:3243
6Nevezis Kedainiai24124853:3740
7Marijampole City24115844:3738
8Jonava24107742:3437
9Tauras Taurage241041037:4234
10Silute24561326:3821
11Lokomotyvas Radviliskis24531622:5518
12Palanga24411922:7210
13FK Panevezys24222017:885
14Polonija Vilnius00000:00
15Zalgiris 300000:00