Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Guilherme Cafe
23'
23'
Arjona M.
89'
89'
Alyson Motta
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bandeirante
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Marilia come out ahead of Bandeirante on wins alone.
- Model gives Bandeirante a 70% chance of winning this.
- Marilia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marilia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Marilia Clean Sheet 24%
Bandeirante Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marilia | Bandeirante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Copa Paulista
Marilia vs Bandeirante
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Copa Paulista
Bandeirante vs Marilia
3:1
Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Bandeirante
4:0
Jan 19, 2025 Paulista A3
Bandeirante vs Marilia
2:1
Feb 7, 2024 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Bandeirante
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marilia Compare
Top Goalscorer Guilherme Cafe
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Bandeirante Compare
Top Goalscorer Arjona M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marilia 29 / 100
Bandeirante 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marilia Bandeirante
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bandeirante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Marilia scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Bandeirante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Marilia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marilia VS Bandeirante
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Marilia
(Home) 22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0 Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1 Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1 Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1 Marilia
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1 Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1 Bandeirante
17 Jul
Marilia
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2 XV de Jau
Page 1 of 4
Bandeirante
(Away) 04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0 Bandeirante
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1 Bandeirante
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0 Bandeirante
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1 Bandeirante
27 Jul
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0 Bandeirante
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2 Bandeirante
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
