Sport Picks

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Marin vs San Francisco City

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marin play San Francisco City in the USL League Two. San Francisco City are favorites here. Recently, Marin averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.76 conceded. San Francisco City averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Marin won 1, San Francisco City won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 11, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Marin and 3.25 for San Francisco City. This points to a San Francisco City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Marin
19%
Draws
57%
San Francisco City
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: San Francisco City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Marin picked up more points recently compared to San Francisco City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 3.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Marin Clean Sheet 10%
San Francisco City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marin San Francisco City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.62 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 USL League Two
Marin vs San Francisco City
0:5
May 28, 2026 USL League Two
San Francisco City vs Marin
4:4
Jun 26, 2025 USL League Two
San Francisco City vs Marin
1:2
Jun 5, 2025 USL League Two
Marin vs San Francisco City
0:3
Jul 7, 2024 USL League Two
San Francisco City vs Marin
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marin 24 / 100
San Francisco City 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marin San Francisco City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Francisco City Win (2)
Secondary Pick San Francisco City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marin attacking → ← attacking San Francisco City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marin scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

San Francisco City let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Marin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

San Francisco City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 56
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13