Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Sinclair-Smith F.
31'
31'
Jolley C.
71'
71'
German O.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Marine and Chorley finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Marine come out ahead of Chorley on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Marine's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Marine Clean Sheet 68%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marine | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League North
Marine vs Chorley
0:2
Apr 6, 2026 National League North
Marine vs Chorley
2:1
Dec 30, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Marine
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Marine
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 FA Trophy
Chorley vs Marine
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marine Compare
Top Goalscorer Sinclair-Smith F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jolley C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Chorley Compare
Top Goalscorer German O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marine 50 / 100
Chorley 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marine Chorley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chorley conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Marine's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Marine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marine VS Chorley
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Marine
(Home) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2 Radcliffe
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
05 Sept
Marine
0 : 1 Worksop
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2 Radcliffe
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
05 Sept
Marine
0 : 1 Worksop
29 Aug
Marine
2 : 0 Radcliffe
18 Aug
Marine
0 : 2 Chorley
Page 1 of 4
Chorley
(Away) 26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
18 Aug
Marine
0 : 2 Chorley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
