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Colwyn Bay

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marine play Colwyn Bay in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marine averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Colwyn Bay averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Marine won 2, Colwyn Bay won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 12, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Marine and 1.31 for Colwyn Bay. This points to a Colwyn Bay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Marine

22%

Draws

39%

Colwyn Bay

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Marine picked up more points recently compared to Colwyn Bay.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Marine Clean Sheet 18%

Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marine	Colwyn Bay
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	13
Draws	4	4
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.52	1.62
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Colwyn Bay vs Marine

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Mar 28, 2016 NPL Premier Division

Colwyn Bay vs Marine

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

0:3

Feb 9, 2016 NPL Premier Division

Marine vs Colwyn Bay

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Oct 26, 2010 NPL Premier Division

Colwyn Bay vs Marine

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

0:3

Oct 5, 2010 NPL Premier Division

Marine vs Colwyn Bay

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marine 39 / 100

Colwyn Bay 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marine Colwyn Bay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colwyn Bay or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marine attacking → ← attacking Colwyn Bay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marine scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Colwyn Bay let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Marine went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Colwyn Bay lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 43

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00