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Marines vs Al-Merreikh

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Marines Logo

Marines

1 - 1
FT
Al-Merreikh Logo

Al-Merreikh

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Marines and Al-Merreikh finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Marines
20%
Draws
29%
Al-Merreikh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Merreikh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Marines a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marines Al-Merreikh
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.47 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs Al-Merreikh
1:1
Dec 10, 2025 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Marines
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marines 95 / 100
Al-Merreikh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marines Al-Merreikh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marines found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Al-Merreikh conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Marines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marines VS Al-Merreikh
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marines

(Home)
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0
Kigali FC
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
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Al-Merreikh

(Away)
05 Sept
Al-Merreikh
1 : 0
Power Dynamos
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
17 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)