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Marines vs Rayon Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kameni J.
26' Event
Niyibizi R.
71' Event
Kameni J.

AI Match Summary

Rayon Sport in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayon Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Marines
35%
Draws
32%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rayon Sport lately — more wins on the board than Marines.
  • Win probability leans Marines's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marines Rayon Sport
Matches Played 33 39
Wins 9 17
Draws 12 17
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.58 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs Rayon Sport
1:2
May 9, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Marines
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Rayon Sport
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Rayon Sport
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Marines
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marines Compare

Top Goalscorer Niyibizi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rayon Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Kameni J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marines 50 / 100
Rayon Sport 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marines Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marines scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Marines has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rayon Sport let in goals in 54% of their last 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marines VS Rayon Sport
1.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marines

(Home)
01 Nov
Marines
1 : 2
Rayon Sport
28 Oct
Marines
3 : 0
Al Hilal Omdurman
25 Oct
Marines
2 : 2
Gasogi United
17 Oct
Etincelles
0 : 4
Marines
10 Oct
Marines
0 : 0
Kiyovu
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Rayon Sport

(Away)
04 Nov
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
01 Nov
Marines
1 : 2
Rayon Sport
28 Oct
Rayon Sport
3 : 0
Musanze
24 Oct
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 2
Rayon Sport
17 Oct
Rayon Sport
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marines 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
2 Gicumbi 7 4 1 2 6:4 13
3 Mukura Victory Sports 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
4 Gorilla 8 3 3 2 5:4 12
5 Kiyovu 6 3 1 2 4:2 10
6 Bugesera 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
7 Musanze 7 3 0 4 6:8 9
8 Sunrise 8 1 6 1 5:8 9
9 Rayon Sport 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 APR 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
11 Al Hilal Omdurman 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
12 Amagaju 8 2 1 5 10:10 7
13 Etoile de L'Est 7 1 4 2 6:7 7
14 Police 8 2 1 5 3:7 7
15 Gasogi United 8 1 4 3 5:10 7
16 Etincelles 7 2 1 4 2:9 7
17 Al Merreikh 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
18 Kigali FC 6 1 2 3 1:6 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)