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Maringa FC vs Brusque

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Willie Davids, Maringá
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gazao
20'
Petterson Novaes
26' Event
Macario

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Maringa FC and Brusque finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Maringa FC
20%
Draws
42%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Maringa FC haven't matched Brusque's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 23%
Brusque Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maringa FC Brusque
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.82 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Brusque
2:3
Jul 14, 2025 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Brusque
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maringa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Pira
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Gazao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Macario
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maringa FC 33 / 100
Brusque 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maringa FC Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Maringa FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Brusque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Maringa FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maringa FC VS Brusque
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maringa FC

(Home)
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Maringa FC
12 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 1
Maringa FC
04 Jul
Maringa FC
4 : 0
Volta Redonda
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Brusque

(Away)
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 17 9 3 5 25:19 30
2 Internacional de Limeira 17 8 4 5 22:20 28
3 Botafogo PB 17 8 3 6 23:18 27
4 Paysandu PA 16 8 2 6 25:22 26
5 Guarani 16 7 5 4 29:17 26
6 Santa Cruz 17 7 4 6 17:14 25
7 Ypiranga FC 16 7 3 6 22:20 24
8 Amazonas 17 7 3 7 18:20 24
9 SER Caxias do Sul 17 6 6 5 17:14 24
10 Ferroviaria 16 6 6 4 17:14 24
11 Maringa FC 17 6 6 5 29:29 24
12 Floresta EC 17 6 6 5 18:19 24
13 Maranhao 17 6 6 5 14:15 24
14 Figueirense 17 6 6 5 17:21 24
15 Ituano 17 6 4 7 18:18 22
16 Volta Redonda 17 6 3 8 12:21 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 17 4 6 7 18:19 18
18 Itabaiana 17 4 5 8 13:21 17
19 Anapolis 17 4 3 10 15:21 15
20 Confianca 17 3 4 10 11:18 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)