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Maringa FC vs Patrocinense

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2024
Maringa FC Logo

Maringa FC

4 - 0
FT
Patrocinense Logo

Patrocinense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maringa FC play Patrocinense in the Serie D 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maringa FC averaged 2 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Patrocinense averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Maringa FC won 3, Patrocinense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 30, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Maringa FC and 1.31 for Patrocinense. This points to a Maringa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Maringa FC
24%
Draws
24%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Maringa FC picked up more points recently compared to Patrocinense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 18%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maringa FC Patrocinense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Serie D
Maringa FC vs Patrocinense
4:0
May 18, 2024 Serie D
Patrocinense vs Maringa FC
1:2
Jun 24, 2023 Serie D
Maringa FC vs Patrocinense
1:0
Jun 3, 2023 Serie D
Patrocinense vs Maringa FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maringa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Moraes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonifacio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Patrocinense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maringa FC 50 / 100
Patrocinense 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maringa FC Patrocinense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maringa FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maringa FC attacking → ← attacking Patrocinense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maringa FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Patrocinense let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Maringa FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Patrocinense lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 30
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manauara14104035:734
2Porto Velho1491429:1528
3Princesa do Solimoes1474323:1625
4Manaus FC1473421:1824
5Trem1453618:2218
6Sao Raimundo RR1451816:2416
7Rio Branco AC1433814:2512
8SC Humaita1401137:361
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maranhao1483322:927
2AE Altos1473422:1624
3River-PI1454520:1619
4Tocantinopolis1454515:1919
5Cameta1444617:1716
6Fluminense-PI1436514:1915
7Moto Club1436517:2415
8Aguia De Maraba1428412:1914
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Treze PB1494128:931
2Iguatu1483314:827
3America RN1475218:926
4Atletico Cearense1453614:1618
5Sousa1453612:1418
6Santa Cruz de Natal1451817:2516
7Maracana1433813:2112
8Potiguar de Mossoró141497:217
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabaiana1482421:1126
2Retro1482421:1226
3Jacuipense1472515:1323
4ASA1463515:1321
5Clube Sociedade Esportiva1463518:1721
6Juazeirense1463513:1321
7Petrolina142486:1910
8Sergipe1423911:229
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brasiliense14102227:1032
2Anapolis1474318:1025
3Mixto1457218:1322
4CRAC1457213:822
5Ipora1452716:2117
6Uniao Rondonopolis1437414:1516
7Real Brasilia1423910:209
8Capital FC14221010:298
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nova Iguacu1494119:531
2Portuguesa RJ1467118:625
3Itabuna1466216:924
4Real Noroeste1455416:1520
5Serra1454516:1819
6Ipatinga142578:1811
7Democrata SL142488:2110
8Audax RJ1423910:199
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maringa FC14102225:1032
2Internacional de Limeira1473416:724
3Agua Santa1464412:1022
4Costa Rica1463516:1721
5Santo Andre1455415:1320
6Pouso Alegre1435611:914
7Sao Jose EC1428413:1614
8Patrocinense1412116:325
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cianorte1464414:1222
2Brasil de Pelotas1463517:1421
3Avenida1454514:1919
4Novo Hamburgo1446414:1518
5Hercilio Luz1439211:1018
6Concordia1445513:1217
7Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1437415:1216
8FC Cascavel143658:1215