Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maringa FC vs Rio Branco PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2025 Estádio Willie Davids
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maringa FC play Rio Branco PR in the Paranaense 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maringa FC averaged 2 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Rio Branco PR averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Maringa FC won 3, Rio Branco PR won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 29, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Maringa FC and 1.77 for Rio Branco PR. This points to a Maringa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Maringa FC
6%
Draws
4%
Rio Branco PR
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Maringa FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rio Branco PR.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Maringa FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paranaense 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco PR Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maringa FC Rio Branco PR
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Paranaense
Maringa FC vs Rio Branco PR
4:0
Jan 17, 2023 Paranaense
Maringa FC vs Rio Branco PR
2:0
Feb 6, 2022 Paranaense
Rio Branco PR vs Maringa FC
0:3
Mar 28, 2021 Paranaense
Maringa FC vs Rio Branco PR
0:0
Jan 20, 2019 Paranaense
Maringa FC vs Rio Branco PR
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maringa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Vitor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Rio Branco PR Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maringa FC 95 / 100
Rio Branco PR 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maringa FC Rio Branco PR

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maringa FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Rio Branco PR let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Maringa FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rio Branco PR lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maringa FC VS Rio Branco PR
2 Goals Scored 1.17
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.83
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Operario-PR1164118:722
2Athletico-PR1164119:922
3Coritiba1162319:820
4Londrina1162316:1020
5Cianorte1152418:1317
6Maringa FC1151518:1516
7Azuriz115068:1315
8Sao Joseense1141613:2113
9FC Cascavel113447:1013
10Clube Andraus Brasil113179:1910
11Rio Branco PR1131711:2210
12Parana111464:137