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Marinhense vs CD Rabo Peixe Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Pereira M.

AI Match Summary

Marinhense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marinhense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Marinhense
15%
Draws
64%
CD Rabo Peixe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Rabo Peixe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Rabo Peixe at 1.1 per game, Marinhense at 0.97.
  • Win probability leans Marinhense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 68%
CD Rabo Peixe Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinhense CD Rabo Peixe
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs CD Rabo Peixe
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Rabo Peixe vs Marinhense
1:1
Aug 31, 2008 Taça de Portugal
Marinhense vs CD Rabo Peixe
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marinhense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

CD Rabo Peixe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinhense 68 / 100
CD Rabo Peixe 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinhense CD Rabo Peixe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marinhense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Rabo Peixe has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

CD Rabo Peixe's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Marinhense found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Marinhense VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinhense

(Home)
18 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 0
Marinhense
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5
Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
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CD Rabo Peixe

(Away)
07 Sept
Sacavenense
7 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
21 Sept
Anadia
3 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
CD Rabo Peixe
0 : 3
Alverca B
17 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
CD Rabo Peixe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)