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Stadium Background

Marinhense vs SC Pombal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Baptista M.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Pinheiro de Sousa A. M.

AI Match Summary

Marinhense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marinhense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Marinhense
15%
Draws
73%
SC Pombal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Marinhense have won more games recently than SC Pombal.
  • Win probability leans SC Pombal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 19%
SC Pombal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinhense SC Pombal
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Pombal vs Marinhense
1:3
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs SC Pombal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marinhense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinheiro de Sousa A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

SC Pombal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinhense 24 / 100
SC Pombal 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinhense SC Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Pombal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Pombal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: SC Pombal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Marinhense's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Marinhense VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinhense

(Home)
18 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 0
Marinhense
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5
Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
Page 1 of 8

SC Pombal

(Away)
13 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 3
Marinhense
06 Apr
O Elvas CAD
4 : 0
SC Pombal
29 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 3
SC Pombal
16 Mar
SC Pombal
0 : 3
Fatima
09 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3
SC Pombal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)