Sport Picks
Marinhense vs Vitoria Sernache
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Sernache
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vitoria Sernache lately — more wins on the board than Marinhense.
- Model gives Vitoria Sernache a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 10%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marinhense | Vitoria Sernache |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs Vitoria Sernache
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Marinhense
4:0
Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Marinhense
0:2
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs Vitoria Sernache
2:1
May 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Sernache vs Marinhense
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marinhense 22 / 100
Vitoria Sernache 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marinhense Vitoria Sernache
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vitoria Sernache Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Vitoria Sernache lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Marinhense scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Vitoria Sernache conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Marinhense VS Vitoria Sernache
1.67 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Marinhense
(Home) 18 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 0 Marinhense
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5 Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1 SC Lusitania
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0 Marinhense
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0 Marinhense
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5 Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1 SC Lusitania
15 Mar
Marinhense
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
04 Mar
Marinhense
2 : 1 Naval 1893
28 Feb
Marinhense
0 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 3
Vitoria Sernache
(Away) 19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1 Varzim
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3 CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3 Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3 Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
08 Aug
Mafra
5 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
