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Marino De Luanco vs Ourense CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Riego M. M.
59' Event
Algisi V.

AI Match Summary

Ourense CF in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ourense CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Marino De Luanco
15%
Draws
53%
Ourense CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ourense CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marino De Luanco lately — more wins on the board than Ourense CF.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 17%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marino De Luanco Ourense CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Ourense CF
0:2
Jan 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Ourense CF
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Marino De Luanco
1:0
Jan 28, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Marino De Luanco
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Ourense CF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marino De Luanco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Riego M. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Algisi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marino De Luanco 31 / 100
Ourense CF 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marino De Luanco Ourense CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ourense CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ourense CF conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Marino De Luanco found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Marino De Luanco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marino De Luanco VS Ourense CF
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marino De Luanco

(Home)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
Page 1 of 6

Ourense CF

(Away)
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2
Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)