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Marino De Luanco vs UD Ourense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83'
Fernandez Diaz D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Marino De Luanco
15%
Draws
28%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marino De Luanco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Ourense lately — more wins on the board than Marino De Luanco.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Marino De Luanco taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 68%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marino De Luanco UD Ourense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs UD Ourense
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Marino De Luanco
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marino De Luanco 86 / 100
UD Ourense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marino De Luanco UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marino De Luanco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ourense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: UD Ourense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Marino De Luanco's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Marino De Luanco VS UD Ourense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marino De Luanco

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1
Langreo
08 Aug
Marino De Luanco
0 : 3
Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6

UD Ourense

(Away)
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)