Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marinoise vs Good Luck

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2013/2014 game between Marinoise and Good Luck finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marinoise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Marinoise
15%
Draws
85%
Good Luck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Good Luck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Good Luck come out ahead of Marinoise on wins alone.
  • Marinoise are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Marinoise Clean Sheet 20%
Good Luck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinoise Good Luck
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 3
Draws 2 4
Losses 27 25
Goals Scored 0.67 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.37 3.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Marinoise vs Good Luck
0:1
Oct 10, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Good Luck vs Marinoise
2:1
May 10, 2014 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Marinoise vs Good Luck
2:1
Dec 21, 2013 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Good Luck vs Marinoise
2:1
Mar 14, 2013 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Good Luck vs Marinoise
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinoise 85 / 100
Good Luck 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinoise Good Luck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marinoise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Good Luck conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Good Luck has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Marinoise scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Good Luck
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 4.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinoise

(Home)
14 May
New Star Ducos
5 : 2
Marinoise
07 May
Marinoise
0 : 6
RC Riviere-Pilote
30 Apr
Excelsior
3 : 2
Marinoise
23 Apr
Golden Star
1 : 0
Marinoise
16 Apr
Marinoise
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
Page 1 of 6

Good Luck

(Away)
13 May
New Club
4 : 1
Good Luck
06 May
Good Luck
0 : 1
Vert Pre
29 Apr
Assaut
3 : 0
Good Luck
22 Apr
Good Luck
0 : 2
Robert
15 Apr
RC Saint Joseph
13 : 0
Good Luck
Page 1 of 7