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Mariscal Sucre vs Guabira

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mariscal Sucre
35%
Draws
41%
Guabira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Guabira haven't matched Mariscal Sucre's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Guabira taking it.
  • Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mariscal Sucre Clean Sheet 20%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariscal Sucre Guabira
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Mariscal Sucre vs Guabira
0:0
Nov 12, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Guabira vs Mariscal Sucre
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariscal Sucre 10 / 100
Guabira 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariscal Sucre Guabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guabira has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Mariscal Sucre found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Mariscal Sucre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guabira
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariscal Sucre

(Home)
09 Oct
Sur-Car
4 : 0
Mariscal Sucre
06 Oct
Mariscal Sucre
2 : 2
Sur-Car
25 Sept
24 de Septiembre
2 : 2
Mariscal Sucre
17 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
3 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
03 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
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Guabira

(Away)
07 Aug
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Guabira
05 Aug
Guabira
3 : 0
Tomayapo
31 Jul
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 1
Guabira
25 Jul
Guabira
4 : 1
Real Oruro
18 Jul
Bolivar
4 : 0
Guabira
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Pari 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
2 Guabira 8 5 1 2 19:7 16
3 Universitario Beni 8 5 1 2 20:15 16
4 Mariscal Sucre 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
5 San Borja 8 0 0 8 8:33 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 1 1 15:9 13
2 Em Huanuni 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
3 Arauco Prado 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
4 Maestranza 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Tarija 8 5 1 2 7:8 16
2 Garcia Agreda 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
3 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 4 1 3 15:14 13
4 Fancesa 8 3 1 4 15:13 10
5 Wilstermann Cooperativas 8 2 0 6 11:16 6
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)