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Mariscal Sucre vs Vaca Diez Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2021 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Mariscal Sucre
35%
Draws
9%
Vaca Diez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mariscal Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaca Diez have won more games recently than Mariscal Sucre.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Mariscal Sucre taking it.
  • Vaca Diez arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vaca Diez, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mariscal Sucre Clean Sheet 19%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariscal Sucre Vaca Diez
Matches Played 32 45
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2.06 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Mariscal Sucre vs Vaca Diez
2:3
Jul 31, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Vaca Diez vs Mariscal Sucre
1:1
Oct 17, 2021 Copa Simon Bolivar
Vaca Diez vs Mariscal Sucre
1:0
Oct 14, 2021 Copa Simon Bolivar
Mariscal Sucre vs Vaca Diez
1:1
Oct 2, 2021 Copa Simon Bolivar
Vaca Diez vs Mariscal Sucre
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariscal Sucre 76 / 100
Vaca Diez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariscal Sucre Vaca Diez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mariscal Sucre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariscal Sucre's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Vaca Diez has conceded goals in 78% of their last 45 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Mariscal Sucre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vaca Diez
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariscal Sucre

(Home)
09 Oct
Sur-Car
4 : 0
Mariscal Sucre
06 Oct
Mariscal Sucre
2 : 2
Sur-Car
25 Sept
24 de Septiembre
2 : 2
Mariscal Sucre
17 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
3 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
03 Sept
Mariscal Sucre
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
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Vaca Diez

(Away)
21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0
Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0
Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0
Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Mariscal Sucre 1
Vaca Diez 2
Club Universitario de Vinto 3
Fatic 2
Maestranza 1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6
Rosario Central 3
Em Huanuni 6
Deportivo Shalon 3
Wilstermann Cooperativas 2
CD Kivon 1
Torre Fuerte 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 2
Libertad Gran Mamore 1
Atletico Bermejo 1
Universitario de Sucre 6
Mojocoya 3
Garcia Agreda 3