Sport Picks
Marist vs Team Wellington
Australia & Oceania
OFC Champions League 2018 
Match Events
37'
37'
Iniga A.
40'
40'
Molloy E.
46'
46'
Sub
Hailemariam N. In: Schrijvers T.
Out: Hailemariam N.
AI Match Summary
The OFC Champions League 2018 game between Marist and Team Wellington finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Team Wellington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Team Wellington carry the better recent record into this one.
- Team Wellington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Marist Clean Sheet 19%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marist | Team Wellington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 2.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2018 OFC Champions League
Marist vs Team Wellington
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marist Compare
Top Goalscorer Iniga A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Team Wellington Compare
Top Goalscorer Kilkolly A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marist 10 / 100
Team Wellington 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marist Team Wellington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marist scored in 77% of their last 22 games.
Team Wellington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Marist stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Team Wellington
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Marist
(Home) 29 Apr
Marist
0 : 1 Lautoka
22 Apr
Lautoka
1 : 1 Marist
07 Apr
Nalkutan
1 : 2 Marist
02 Mar
Lupe ole Soaga
1 : 3 Marist
27 Feb
Marist
1 : 1 Magenta
Page 1 of 5
29 Apr
Marist
0 : 1 Lautoka
27 Feb
Marist
1 : 1 Magenta
24 Feb
Marist
1 : 1 Team Wellington
12 Mar
Marist
4 : 2 Rewa
27 Mar
Marist
1 : 4 PNG Hekari
Page 1 of 2
Team Wellington
(Away) 21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4 Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1 Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2 Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2 Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4 Team Wellington
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2 Team Wellington
07 Feb
Auckland City
3 : 1 Team Wellington
17 Jan
Hawke s Bay
2 : 2 Team Wellington
10 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1 Team Wellington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nalkutan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Lae City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Ba | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Tupapa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:15 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Dragon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 2 | Solomon Warriors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Erakor Golden Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Lossi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:12 | 1 |
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Lautoka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Venus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Madang Fox | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Team Wellington | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Marist | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Magenta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Lupe ole Soaga | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
