Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maritimo B vs AD Lousada

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012
Maritimo B Logo

Maritimo B

1 - 0
FT
AD Lousada Logo

AD Lousada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012 game between Maritimo B and AD Lousada finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Maritimo B
15%
Draws
34%
AD Lousada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritimo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • AD Lousada haven't matched Maritimo B's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Maritimo B a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 18%
AD Lousada Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo B AD Lousada
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.11 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Maritimo B vs AD Lousada
1:0
Dec 11, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Lousada vs Maritimo B
4:4
Mar 5, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Maritimo B vs AD Lousada
3:0
Nov 7, 2010 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Lousada vs Maritimo B
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo B 36 / 100
AD Lousada 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo B AD Lousada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Maritimo B found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).

AD Lousada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

AD Lousada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo B VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo B

(Home)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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AD Lousada

(Away)
01 Sept
Grijo
3 : 2
AD Lousada
29 Apr
AD Lousada
0 : 3
AD Fafe
22 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
1 : 2
AD Lousada
15 Apr
AD Lousada
1 : 1
Ribeirao
07 Apr
Maritimo B
1 : 0
AD Lousada
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Varzim 30 20 8 2 48:12 68
2 AD Fafe 30 16 6 8 46:29 54
3 Chaves 30 15 9 6 41:26 54
4 SC Mirandela 30 14 10 6 55:32 52
5 Tirsense 30 11 11 8 39:29 44
6 AD Limianos 30 11 11 8 34:25 44
7 Ribeirao 30 10 14 6 39:31 44
8 CD Ribeira Brava 30 12 6 12 33:37 42
9 Famalicao 30 10 9 11 29:32 39
10 Macedo de Cavaleiros 30 10 9 11 43:48 39
11 Vizela 30 9 11 10 40:42 38
12 Maritimo B 30 10 8 12 41:45 38
13 Camacha 30 8 10 12 29:36 34
14 AD Lousada 30 8 8 14 30:45 32
15 Merelinense 30 3 7 20 33:68 16
16 AD Oliveirense 30 1 7 22 14:57 10
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)