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Maritimo B vs Guarda FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
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Match Events

20' Event
Gomes B.
40' Event
Tavares R.
44' Event
von Hellens L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Guarda FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarda FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Maritimo B
15%
Draws
34%
Guarda FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritimo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarda FC lately — more wins on the board than Maritimo B.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Guarda FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 22%
Guarda FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo B Guarda FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Guarda FC
1:3
Sep 28, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda FC vs Maritimo B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Guarda FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tropa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo B 24 / 100
Guarda FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo B Guarda FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarda FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Maritimo B found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Guarda FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Guarda FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo B VS Guarda FC
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo B

(Home)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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Guarda FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
30 Aug
Ac. Fundao
0 : 6
Guarda FC
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)