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Maritimo B vs Regua

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Maritimo B Logo

Maritimo B

1 - 0
FT
Regua Logo

Regua

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Francoise N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maritimo B in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritimo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Maritimo B
15%
Draws
12%
Regua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritimo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Maritimo B have won more games recently than Regua.
  • Maritimo B are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 20%
Regua Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo B Regua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.03 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Regua
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Regua vs Maritimo B
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Francoise N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Regua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo B 58 / 100
Regua 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo B Regua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritimo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Regua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Maritimo B scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Regua lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo B VS Regua
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo B

(Home)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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Regua

(Away)
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
13 Apr
Guarda FC
1 : 1
Regua
06 Apr
Regua
0 : 3
SC Salgueiros
30 Mar
Uniao Lamas
2 : 1
Regua
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)