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Maritimo vs Academica

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Maritimo and Academica finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Maritimo
20%
Draws
60%
Academica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Academica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica come out ahead of Maritimo on wins alone.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo Academica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Maritimo vs Academica
0:1
Feb 28, 2016 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Academica
1:0
Oct 3, 2015 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Maritimo
1:0
Sep 16, 2015 League Cup
Maritimo vs Academica
2:1
Feb 1, 2015 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Maritimo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo 36 / 100
Academica 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo Academica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maritimo scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Academica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: Academica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo VS Academica
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo

(Home)
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1
Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1
Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
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Academica

(Away)
18 Sept
Real SC
1 : 4
Academica
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1
Academica
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2
Academica
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