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Maritimo vs Estrela Calheta

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Maritimo
35%
Draws
32%
Estrela Calheta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Maritimo have won more games recently than Estrela Calheta.
  • Model gives Maritimo a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela Calheta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo Estrela Calheta
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 13 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Maritimo vs Estrela Calheta
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo 76 / 100
Estrela Calheta 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo Estrela Calheta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritimo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Estrela Calheta has conceded goals in 73% of their last 11 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Estrela Calheta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo VS Estrela Calheta
0.88 Goals Scored 0.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.4
63% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo

(Home)
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1
Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1
Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
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Estrela Calheta

(Away)
20 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 3
SC Vianense
13 Sept
Estrela Calheta
0 : 3
UD Ovarense
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1
Estrela Calheta
21 Sept
FC Alpendorada
7 : 1
Estrela Calheta
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