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Maritimo vs Morabeza

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2010
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2010 game between Maritimo and Morabeza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Maritimo
30%
Draws
37%
Morabeza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morabeza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Morabeza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 20%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo Morabeza
Matches Played 5 32
Wins 2 8
Draws 1 14
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.4 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2010 Campeonato Nacional
Maritimo vs Morabeza
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo 32 / 100
Morabeza 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo Morabeza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (5 games).

Morabeza has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Maritimo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Morabeza
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo

(Home)
06 Jun
Solpontense FC
2 : 0
Maritimo
30 May
Maritimo
2 : 2
Botafogo
22 May
Boavista
3 : 4
Maritimo
16 May
Maritimo
1 : 0
Morabeza
08 May
Batuque FC
2 : 0
Maritimo

Morabeza

(Away)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2
Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batuque FC 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
2 Boavista 5 2 2 1 15:8 8
3 Maritimo 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
4 Morabeza 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
5 Botafogo 5 1 2 2 8:13 5
6 Solpontense FC 5 1 1 3 7:14 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2010 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico do Sal 5 4 1 0 12:4 13
2 Sporting Praia 5 3 2 0 16:6 11
3 Scorpion Vermelho 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
4 Sporting Boavista 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
5 Clube Desportivo Ribeira Brava 4 1 1 2 6:12 4
6 Barreirense 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2010 (Play Offs)