Sport Picks
Maritimo vs Oliveirense
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal 
Match Events
29'
29'
Brito T.
39'
39'
Bastos L.
45'
45'
Silva J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Maritimo and Oliveirense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maritimo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Medium Confidence
- Maritimo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Maritimo's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 17%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maritimo | Oliveirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.43 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Oliveirense
1:0
Nov 3, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Maritimo
0:2
May 10, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Maritimo
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Oliveirense
1:2
May 12, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Oliveirense
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maritimo Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Oliveirense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maritimo 41 / 100
Oliveirense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maritimo Oliveirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maritimo scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Oliveirense has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Maritimo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maritimo VS Oliveirense
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Maritimo
(Home) 01 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0 Nacional
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1 Estrela Calheta
25 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 0 Machico
22 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0 Camacha
17 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 5 Leixoes
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0 Nacional
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1 Estrela Calheta
25 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 0 Machico
22 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0 Camacha
17 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 5 Leixoes
Page 1 of 4
Oliveirense
(Away) 17 May
Oliveirense
1 : 5 FC Felgueiras
09 May
Feirense
1 : 2 Oliveirense
02 May
Oliveirense
0 : 0 Lusitania FC
27 Apr
Chaves
2 : 1 Oliveirense
22 Apr
Oliveirense
3 : 0 Benfica B
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Feirense
1 : 2 Oliveirense
27 Apr
Chaves
2 : 1 Oliveirense
12 Apr
Leixoes
2 : 0 Oliveirense
21 Mar
Maritimo
1 : 0 Oliveirense
16 Mar
FC Porto B
0 : 0 Oliveirense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
