Sport Picks
Maritimo vs Oliveirense
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal 
Match Events
29'
29'
Brito T.
39'
39'
Bastos L.
45'
45'
Silva J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Maritimo and Oliveirense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oliveirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Maritimo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Oliveirense's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 19%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maritimo | Oliveirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.27 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Oliveirense
1:0
Nov 3, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Maritimo
0:2
May 10, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Maritimo
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Oliveirense
1:2
May 12, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Oliveirense
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maritimo Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64
Oliveirense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maritimo 16 / 100
Oliveirense 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maritimo Oliveirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oliveirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maritimo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Oliveirense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Maritimo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maritimo VS Oliveirense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Maritimo
(Home) 19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1 Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1 Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
08 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0 Casa Pia
01 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0 Nacional
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1 Estrela Calheta
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Oliveirense
(Away) 19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1 Mafra
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Oliveirense
29 Aug
Oliveirense
4 : 0 Penalva do Castelo
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
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06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Oliveirense
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1 Oliveirense
09 May
Feirense
1 : 2 Oliveirense
27 Apr
Chaves
2 : 1 Oliveirense
12 Apr
Leixoes
2 : 0 Oliveirense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
