Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maritimo W vs C.F. Benfica W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Silva I.
47' Event
Encarnacao T.
49' Event
Costa E.

AI Match Summary

Maritimo W in this Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Maritimo W
15%
Draws
36%
C.F. Benfica W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritimo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Maritimo W have won more games recently than C.F. Benfica W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Maritimo W taking it.
  • Maritimo W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Maritimo W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 13%
C.F. Benfica W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W C.F. Benfica W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.09 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2023 Liga BPI Women
C.F. Benfica W vs Maritimo W
1:2
Jun 4, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs C.F. Benfica W
4:1
Oct 4, 2020 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs C.F. Benfica W
2:0
May 3, 2020 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs C.F. Benfica W
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Liga BPI Women
C.F. Benfica W vs Maritimo W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Encarnacao T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Costa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

C.F. Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 40 / 100
C.F. Benfica W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W C.F. Benfica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: C.F. Benfica W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: C.F. Benfica W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
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C.F. Benfica W

(Away)
13 Dec
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Famalicao W
15 Feb
Damaiense W
5 : 1
C.F. Benfica W
10 Jun
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
04 Jun
Maritimo W
4 : 1
C.F. Benfica W
26 Jun
Ouriense W
0 : 1
C.F. Benfica W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ouriense W 3
Gil Vicente W 2
Maritimo W 6
C.F. Benfica W 2