Sport Picks

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Maritimo W vs C.F. Benfica W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Silva I.
47' Event
Encarnacao T.
49' Event
Costa E.

AI Match Summary

Maritimo W in this Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Maritimo W
6%
Draws
4%
C.F. Benfica W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maritimo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Maritimo W have won more games recently than C.F. Benfica W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Maritimo W taking it.
  • Maritimo W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Maritimo W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 11%
C.F. Benfica W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W C.F. Benfica W
Matches Played 47 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2023 Liga BPI Women
C.F. Benfica W vs Maritimo W
1:2
Jun 4, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs C.F. Benfica W
4:1
Oct 4, 2020 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs C.F. Benfica W
2:0
May 3, 2020 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs C.F. Benfica W
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Liga BPI Women
C.F. Benfica W vs Maritimo W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Encarnacao T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Costa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

C.F. Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 83 / 100
C.F. Benfica W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W C.F. Benfica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W scored in 68% of their last 47 games.

Defensive concern: C.F. Benfica W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Maritimo W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS C.F. Benfica W
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
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C.F. Benfica W

(Away)
13 Dec
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Famalicao W
15 Feb
Damaiense W
5 : 1
C.F. Benfica W
10 Jun
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
04 Jun
Maritimo W
4 : 1
C.F. Benfica W
26 Jun
Ouriense W
0 : 1
C.F. Benfica W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ouriense W3
Gil Vicente W2
Maritimo W6
C.F. Benfica W2