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Maritimo W vs Rio Ave W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal
Sun, Dec 20, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maritimo W host Rio Ave W in the Liga BPI Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Maritimo W at 0.9 goals for, 2.66 against; Rio Ave W at 0.9 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Maritimo W slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.75) point toward Rio Ave W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Maritimo W
20%
Draws
64%
Rio Ave W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Ave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Ave W lately — more wins on the board than Maritimo W.
  • Rio Ave W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 12%
Rio Ave W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W Rio Ave W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.66 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Rio Ave W vs Maritimo W
4:1
Jan 25, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Rio Ave W
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Rio Ave W vs Maritimo W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 10 / 100
Rio Ave W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W Rio Ave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Ave W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Rio Ave W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Rio Ave W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Maritimo W found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS Rio Ave W
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
04 Oct
Rio Ave W
4 : 1
Maritimo W
27 Sept
Torreense W
8 : 0
Maritimo W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
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Rio Ave W

(Away)
17 Oct
Rio Ave W
1 : 1
FC Porto W
04 Oct
Rio Ave W
4 : 1
Maritimo W
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torreense W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Braga W 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Sporting W 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
4 SL Benfica W 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
5 FC Porto W 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Racing Power W 4 1 1 2 1:5 4
7 Valadares Gaia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
8 Rio Ave W 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
9 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
10 Maritimo W 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Relegation - Liga BPI Women (Relegation Group)