Sport Picks

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Maritimo W vs Rio Ave W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Sisse F.
25' Event
Shepherd S.
37'
Freitas D.

AI Match Summary

Maritimo W in this Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritimo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maritimo W
20%
Draws
40%
Rio Ave W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Ave W lately — more wins on the board than Maritimo W.
  • Model gives Rio Ave W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 18%
Rio Ave W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W Rio Ave W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.48 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Rio Ave W
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Rio Ave W vs Maritimo W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sisse F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Rio Ave W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shepherd S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 28 / 100
Rio Ave W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W Rio Ave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Ave W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Ave W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Rio Ave W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Maritimo W's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS Rio Ave W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 6

Rio Ave W

(Away)
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
13 Sept
Torreense W
3 : 0
Rio Ave W
31 May
Gil Vicente W
0 : 2
Rio Ave W
23 May
Rio Ave W
1 : 1
Gil Vicente W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)