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Maritimo W vs Valadares Gaia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal
Maritimo W Logo

Maritimo W

2 - 0
FT
Valadares Gaia W Logo

Valadares Gaia W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Heinrichs S.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Sisse F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maritimo W
20%
Draws
40%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Maritimo W haven't matched Valadares Gaia W's recent run of results.
  • Valadares Gaia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Valadares Gaia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Valadares Gaia W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 21%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 Taça da Liga Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Maritimo W
6:0
Jan 10, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Maritimo W
2:3
Jan 7, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
Maritimo W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Maritimo W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sisse F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 10 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W Valadares Gaia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valadares Gaia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Valadares Gaia W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Valadares Gaia W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Maritimo W scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS Valadares Gaia W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
27 Sept
Torreense W
8 : 0
Maritimo W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
Page 1 of 6

Valadares Gaia W

(Away)
03 Oct
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
26 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 0
Rio Ave W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
FC Porto W
29 Aug
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 2
Braga W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Braga W 1
Sporting W 0
Feirense W 0
Rio Ave W 5
Torreense W 9
Leiria W 1
Damaiense W 0
SL Benfica W 2
Gil Vicente W 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
C.F. Benfica W 1
Famalicao W 2
Maritimo W 2
Valadares Gaia W 0
FC Porto W 3
Ponte de Vagos W 0
Quarter-finals
Braga W 2
Rio Ave W 1
Torreense W 2
SL Benfica W 3
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
Famalicao W 0
Maritimo W 1
FC Porto W 2
Semi-finals
Braga W 1
SL Benfica W 5
Vitoria Guimaraes W 2
FC Porto W 3
Final
SL Benfica W 2
FC Porto W 0