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Maritsa Milevo vs Dimitrovgrad Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Maritsa Milevo and Dimitrovgrad finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Maritsa Milevo
15%
Draws
21%
Dimitrovgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dimitrovgrad haven't matched Maritsa Milevo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Maritsa Milevo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 20%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Milevo Dimitrovgrad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.73 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Maritsa Milevo
0:1
May 16, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Dimitrovgrad
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Maritsa Milevo
0:3
Feb 15, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Maritsa Milevo
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Dimitrovgrad
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Milevo 85 / 100
Dimitrovgrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Milevo Dimitrovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Milevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dimitrovgrad has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Maritsa Milevo's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Maritsa Milevo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Milevo VS Dimitrovgrad
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Milevo

(Home)
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
05 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
29 Aug
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Botev II
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Dimitrovgrad

(Away)
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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