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Maritsa Plovdiv vs Evrokolezh

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2016/2017 game between Maritsa Plovdiv and Evrokolezh finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Evrokolezh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Maritsa Plovdiv
15%
Draws
85%
Evrokolezh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Evrokolezh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Maritsa Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Evrokolezh's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 20%
Evrokolezh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Evrokolezh
Matches Played 41 36
Wins 19 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 2.1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Evrokolezh
2:4
Nov 12, 2016 Third League - South-East
Evrokolezh vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:2
Apr 9, 2016 Third League - South-East
Evrokolezh vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:3
Sep 26, 2015 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Evrokolezh
0:1
Feb 28, 2015 Third League - South-East
Evrokolezh vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Plovdiv 20 / 100
Evrokolezh 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Plovdiv Evrokolezh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Evrokolezh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Evrokolezh has conceded goals in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Maritsa Plovdiv's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Evrokolezh has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Plovdiv VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Plovdiv

(Home)
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1
Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
OFC Haskovo
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Evrokolezh

(Away)
02 Jun
Svilengrad 1921
4 : 1
Evrokolezh
26 May
Evrokolezh
2 : 2
Asenovets
19 May
Borislav Parvomay
4 : 2
Evrokolezh
12 May
Evrokolezh
2 : 1
Yambol 1915
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 4
Evrokolezh
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)