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Maritsa Plovdiv vs Levski Karlovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East Maritsa stadium, Plovdiv
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Maritsa Plovdiv and Levski Karlovo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levski Karlovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Maritsa Plovdiv
15%
Draws
85%
Levski Karlovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levski Karlovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Levski Karlovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maritsa Plovdiv's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Maritsa Plovdiv here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 19%
Levski Karlovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Levski Karlovo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Levski Karlovo
1:2
Apr 17, 2026 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Levski Karlovo
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Levski Karlovo
4:0
Aug 24, 2024 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Plovdiv 42 / 100
Levski Karlovo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Plovdiv Levski Karlovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levski Karlovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Maritsa Plovdiv's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Levski Karlovo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Plovdiv VS Levski Karlovo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Plovdiv

(Home)
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1
Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
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Levski Karlovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
OFC Haskovo
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5
Yambol 1915
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
3 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
4 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
5 Maritsa Milevo 7 5 0 2 12:9 15
6 Sozopol 8 4 1 3 17:13 13
7 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
8 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
9 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
10 Rozova Dolina 8 2 5 1 11:10 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 7 2 1 4 10:16 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 8 2 0 6 7:19 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)