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Maritsa Plovdiv vs Maritsa Milevo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026 Maritsa stadium, Plovdiv
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AI Match Summary

Maritsa Milevo in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritsa Milevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Maritsa Plovdiv
15%
Draws
64%
Maritsa Milevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Maritsa Milevo have won more games recently than Maritsa Plovdiv.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Maritsa Plovdiv taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Maritsa Milevo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 11%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Maritsa Milevo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.03 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Maritsa Milevo
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:1
Apr 17, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:0
Oct 9, 2024 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Maritsa Milevo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Plovdiv 35 / 100
Maritsa Milevo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Plovdiv Maritsa Milevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maritsa Plovdiv scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Maritsa Milevo has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Maritsa Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Plovdiv VS Maritsa Milevo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Plovdiv

(Home)
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
OFC Haskovo
15 Aug
Yambol 1915
3 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0
Zagorets
29 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
9 : 1
Zagorets
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Maritsa Milevo

(Away)
29 Aug
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Botev II
22 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Maritsa Milevo
15 Aug
Maritsa Milevo
1 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
08 Aug
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 1
Maritsa Milevo
15 Jul
Beroe
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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