Sport Picks
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Rakovski 2011 Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 Maritsa stadium, Plovdiv 
AI Match Summary
Maritsa Plovdiv in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritsa Plovdiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakovski 2011
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
12%
/ Low Confidence
- Maritsa Plovdiv have won more games recently than Rakovski 2011.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Maritsa Plovdiv here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 11%
Rakovski 2011 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Rakovski 2011 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Rakovski 2011
5:1
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:3
May 10, 2017 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:4
Nov 4, 2016 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Rakovski 2011
5:0
Apr 16, 2016 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Rakovski 2011
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maritsa Plovdiv 29 / 100
Rakovski 2011 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maritsa Plovdiv Rakovski 2011
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maritsa Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rakovski 2011 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Maritsa Plovdiv found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Difficult form: Rakovski 2011 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maritsa Plovdiv VS Rakovski 2011
1.5 Goals Scored 1.6
2 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%
Recent Form & Match History
Maritsa Plovdiv
(Home) 03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
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26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 Levski Karlovo
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
22 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 OFC Haskovo
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
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Rakovski 2011
(Away) 27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1 Rakovski 2011
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5 Yambol 1915
16 May
Rakovski 2011
0 : 1 Sekirovo Rakovski
13 May
OFC Haskovo
2 : 3 Rakovski 2011
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1 Lok. Plovdiv II
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27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1 Rakovski 2011
13 May
OFC Haskovo
2 : 3 Rakovski 2011
02 May
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 1 Rakovski 2011
09 Apr
Zagorets
3 : 1 Rakovski 2011
01 Apr
Maritsa Plovdiv
5 : 1 Rakovski 2011
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
