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Maritsa Plovdiv vs Spartak Plovdiv Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East Maritsa stadium, Plovdiv
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Plovdiv in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Maritsa Plovdiv
15%
Draws
85%
Spartak Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Plovdiv lately — more wins on the board than Maritsa Plovdiv.
  • Spartak Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Spartak Plovdiv
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.79 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:2
May 23, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Maritsa Plovdiv
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Spartak Plovdiv
2:2
Apr 9, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Plovdiv 10 / 100
Spartak Plovdiv 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Plovdiv Spartak Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maritsa Plovdiv scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Spartak Plovdiv let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Spartak Plovdiv has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Plovdiv VS Spartak Plovdiv
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Plovdiv

(Home)
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1
Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
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Spartak Plovdiv

(Away)
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
3 Maritsa Milevo 8 6 0 2 17:9 18
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Sozopol 8 4 1 3 17:13 13
7 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
8 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
9 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
10 Rozova Dolina 8 2 5 1 11:10 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 8 2 0 6 7:19 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
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