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Marjamaa Kompanii vs FC Sssolutions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marjamaa Kompanii play FC Sssolutions in the Estonian Cup 2019/2020. Marjamaa Kompanii are favorites here. Recently, Marjamaa Kompanii averaged 2.93 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. FC Sssolutions averaged 0.5 goals scored and 9.25 conceded. In past meetings, Marjamaa Kompanii won 1, FC Sssolutions won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2019 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Marjamaa Kompanii and 1.88 for FC Sssolutions. This points to a Marjamaa Kompanii double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%
Marjamaa Kompanii
15%
Draws
13%
FC Sssolutions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marjamaa Kompanii

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Marjamaa Kompanii picked up more points recently compared to FC Sssolutions.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 57%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Marjamaa Kompanii Clean Sheet 10%
FC Sssolutions Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marjamaa Kompanii FC Sssolutions
Matches Played 15 4
Wins 7 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.93 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.27 9.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 9.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2019 Estonian Cup
Marjamaa Kompanii vs FC Sssolutions
6:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marjamaa Kompanii 67 / 100
FC Sssolutions 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marjamaa Kompanii FC Sssolutions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marjamaa Kompanii Win (1)
Secondary Pick Marjamaa Kompanii & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.3%
1.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.4%
1.12
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marjamaa Kompanii attacking → ← attacking FC Sssolutions

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marjamaa Kompanii scored in 73% of their last 15 games.

FC Sssolutions let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Marjamaa Kompanii went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Sssolutions lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 0
3.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 9.25