Sport Picks
Match Events
48'
48'
Vaherna M.
59'
59'
Ennuste K.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Tabasalu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marjamaa Kompanii
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tabasalu come out ahead of Marjamaa Kompanii on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Marjamaa Kompanii's way, sitting at 90%.
- Tabasalu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tabasalu, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Marjamaa Kompanii Clean Sheet 10%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marjamaa Kompanii | Tabasalu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 3.06 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.59 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2024 Estonian Cup
Marjamaa Kompanii vs Tabasalu
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marjamaa Kompanii Compare
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47
Tabasalu Compare
Top Goalscorer Vaherna M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marjamaa Kompanii 83 / 100
Tabasalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marjamaa Kompanii Tabasalu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marjamaa Kompanii Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tabasalu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.
Marjamaa Kompanii found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (17 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Tabasalu's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Marjamaa Kompanii VS Tabasalu
4 Goals Scored 2.75
6 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Marjamaa Kompanii
(Home) 11 Aug
Narva
8 : 0 Marjamaa Kompanii
21 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
8 : 4 Generation Tallinn
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 2 Marjamaa Kompanii
10 Jun
Marjamaa Kompanii
4 : 0 Kubik
27 Aug
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 2 Tabasalu
Page 1 of 4
21 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
8 : 4 Generation Tallinn
10 Jun
Marjamaa Kompanii
4 : 0 Kubik
27 Aug
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 2 Tabasalu
05 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 7 Helm
11 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
4 : 5 Imavere Forss
Page 1 of 3
Tabasalu
(Away) 19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2 Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1 Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1 Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2 Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0 Tabasalu
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2 Tabasalu
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1 Tabasalu
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0 Tabasalu
24 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
6 : 0 Tabasalu
09 Aug
Levadia U19
3 : 0 Tabasalu
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kubik -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
FC Hell Hunt -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Tabasalu 6
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Tallinna GameSport -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Tartu -
Kristiine -
TBD -
Legion 3
Raplamaa 1
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Tamper 4
JK Poseidon 1
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
Viimsi JK 0
Kuressaare 1
Kose 1
Tartu Kalev 6
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Loo JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik 2
Zealot Sporting 1
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kuusalu Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Saae Latte -
TBD -
TBD -
Hiiumaa -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sillamae Silmet -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Kose II 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 4
Soccernet 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Starmedia -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tallinna Smsraha -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
1/32-finals
Kubik 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu 3
Saku Sporting 1
FC Tallinn 2
Tallinna GameSport 0
Tammeka Tartu 24
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
EstHam United 0
Inter Tartu 4
Kristiine 0
Legion 5
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kohvile 1
Maksatransport 3
Parnu 1
Tamper 3
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Kalju 11
Eston Villa 1
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens 0
Kuressaare 12
Tartu Kalev 7
Pelgu City 0
Loo JK 2
Helm 4
Tallinna Wolves 0
Elva 8
Levadia -
TBD -
Tulevik 3
Jarva-Jaani 0
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Tartu Helios 4
Saae Latte 2
Hiiumaa 6
Flora U19 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna FC Zapoos 4
Sillamae Silmet 3
TransferWise 0
Harju JK Laagri 15
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 0
Narva 7
Arukula Vigri 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Tallinna Starmedia 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 11
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tallinna Smsraha 1
FC Ararat 3
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Rumori Calcio 1
1/16-finals
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 14
Inter Tartu 0
Legion 4
Johvi Phoenix 3
Maksatransport 0
Tamper 3
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Kalju 7
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 7
Tartu Kalev 0
Helm 1
Elva 5
Levadia 8
Tulevik 1
Tartu Helios 1
Hiiumaa 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 5
Harju JK Laagri 3
Nomme Utd 0
Narva 6
Tallinna Starmedia 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 10
FC Ararat 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
1/8-finals
Tabasalu 1
FC Tallinn 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Legion 0
Tamper 0
Kalju 9
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 1
Elva 1
Levadia 3
Hiiumaa 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Harju JK Laagri 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Quarter-finals
FC Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 5
Kalju 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Levadia 7
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Semi-finals
Tallinna Kalev 0
Kalju 5
Levadia 1
Narva 0
Final
Kalju 4
Levadia 3
