Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Chatzistravos Z.
31'
31'
Apostolakis K.
43'
43'
Smalis P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Greek Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEL Larissa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Marko have won more games recently than AEL Larissa.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Marko have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AEL Larissa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Marko Clean Sheet 31%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marko | AEL Larissa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2025 Greek Cup
Marko vs AEL Larissa
2:2
May 16, 2004 Gamma Ethiniki
AEL Larissa vs Marko
1:0
Jan 11, 2004 Gamma Ethiniki
Marko vs AEL Larissa
0:1
Apr 30, 2003 Gamma Ethiniki
Marko vs AEL Larissa
2:1
Dec 15, 2002 Gamma Ethiniki
AEL Larissa vs Marko
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marko Compare
Top Goalscorer Smalis P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
AEL Larissa Compare
Top Goalscorer Chatzistravos Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mourgos S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marko 34 / 100
AEL Larissa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marko AEL Larissa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marko found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
AEL Larissa let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Marko stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marko VS AEL Larissa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Marko
(Home) 21 Mar
Marko
0 : 0 Kalamata
15 Mar
Marko
2 : 1 Panionios
07 Mar
Olympiacos Piraeus B
0 : 3 Marko
01 Mar
Kalamata
2 : 0 Marko
21 Feb
Panionios
0 : 0 Marko
Page 1 of 6
21 Mar
Marko
0 : 0 Kalamata
15 Mar
Marko
2 : 1 Panionios
15 Feb
Marko
1 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus B
25 Jan
Marko
1 : 0 Panargiakos
18 Jan
Marko
0 : 1 Athens Kallithea
Page 1 of 3
AEL Larissa
(Away) 17 Aug
Athens Kallithea
1 : 3 AEL Larissa
11 Aug
AO Trikala
0 : 4 AEL Larissa
06 Aug
AEL Larissa
0 : 0 Zakynthos
21 May
Kifisia
3 : 2 AEL Larissa
16 May
AEL Larissa
2 : 1 Atromitos
Page 1 of 7
17 Aug
Athens Kallithea
1 : 3 AEL Larissa
11 Aug
AO Trikala
0 : 4 AEL Larissa
21 May
Kifisia
3 : 2 AEL Larissa
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1 AEL Larissa
02 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1 AEL Larissa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Levadiakos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 3 | AEK | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 7 | Volos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 8 | PAOK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Iraklis FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Athens Kallithea | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Ellas Syrou | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 3 |
| 16 | AEL Larissa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 1 |
| 17 | Kavala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Marko | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 19 | Ilioupoli | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 0 |
| 20 | PAE Egaleo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
