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Marko vs AEL Larissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marko host AEL Larissa in the Super League 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Marko have averaged 1.38 scored and 1 conceded recently, against AEL Larissa's 1.24 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Marko have won 1 to AEL Larissa's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Marko. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Marko
20%
Draws
38%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marko come out ahead of AEL Larissa on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Marko Clean Sheet 18%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marko AEL Larissa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Greek Cup
Marko vs AEL Larissa
2:2
May 16, 2004 Gamma Ethiniki
AEL Larissa vs Marko
1:0
Jan 11, 2004 Gamma Ethiniki
Marko vs AEL Larissa
0:1
Apr 30, 2003 Gamma Ethiniki
Marko vs AEL Larissa
2:1
Dec 15, 2002 Gamma Ethiniki
AEL Larissa vs Marko
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marko 32 / 100
AEL Larissa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marko AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marko scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

AEL Larissa has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Marko stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marko VS AEL Larissa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marko

(Home)
05 Oct
Chrisoupolis
1 : 2
Marko
28 Sept
Marko
2 : 1
Panthrakikos
20 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus B
2 : 4
Marko
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
12 Sept
Marko
2 : 1
Athens Kallithea
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AEL Larissa

(Away)
03 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 2
AEL Larissa
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
PAOK B
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 5 5 0 0 11:5 15
2 AEL Larissa 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Panionios 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
4 Ellas Syrou 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
5 Athens Kallithea 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
6 Panthrakikos 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Panserraikos 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
8 Asteras Tripolis B 5 2 0 3 3:5 6
9 Apollon Kalamaria 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
10 PAOK B 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
11 Pyrgos 5 1 2 2 2:5 5
12 Niki Volos 5 1 1 3 6:7 4
13 Olympiacos Piraeus B 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
14 Chrisoupolis 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
15 Zakynthos 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Karditsa 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)