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Marko vs Ellas Syrou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marko host Ellas Syrou in the Super League 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ellas Syrou have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Marko have conceded 1 and scored 1.39. Past meetings favor Marko slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Marko. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Marko
30%
Draws
30%
Ellas Syrou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marko

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marko come out ahead of Ellas Syrou on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Marko Clean Sheet 16%
Ellas Syrou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marko Ellas Syrou
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.54
Goals Conceded 1 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Greek Cup
Ellas Syrou vs Marko
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs Marko
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Super League 2
Marko vs Ellas Syrou
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Ellas Syrou vs Marko
2:0
Oct 1, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Marko vs Ellas Syrou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marko 36 / 100
Ellas Syrou 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marko Ellas Syrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellas Syrou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marko scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Ellas Syrou conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Marko has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marko VS Ellas Syrou
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marko

(Home)
05 Oct
Chrisoupolis
1 : 2
Marko
28 Sept
Marko
2 : 1
Panthrakikos
20 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus B
2 : 4
Marko
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
12 Sept
Marko
2 : 1
Athens Kallithea
Page 1 of 6

Ellas Syrou

(Away)
05 Oct
PAOK B
0 : 0
Ellas Syrou
27 Sept
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Pyrgos
19 Sept
Zakynthos
1 : 4
Ellas Syrou
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 5 5 0 0 11:5 15
2 AEL Larissa 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Panionios 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
4 Ellas Syrou 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
5 Athens Kallithea 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
6 Panthrakikos 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Panserraikos 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
8 Asteras Tripolis B 5 2 0 3 3:5 6
9 Apollon Kalamaria 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
10 PAOK B 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
11 Pyrgos 5 1 2 2 2:5 5
12 Niki Volos 5 1 1 3 6:7 4
13 Olympiacos Piraeus B 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
14 Chrisoupolis 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
15 Zakynthos 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Karditsa 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)